In December 2023, experts, analysts and seers were actively speculating what it would be like 2024 year. Some of the predictions came true, and some did not.
The loudest predictions for 2024 are in the material TSN.ua.
Prospects of Putin’s death
Seer Sophia Semyanishin believed: if President Vladimir Putin is still alive, it will not be for long.
“This is a pure representative of the forces of evil on the planet, and his soul or essence was already manifested in the physical world as Herod, who wanted to strangle Christianity in its infancy… He also embodied Caligula, he was a terrible tyrant… That is, this person always craved a lot of blood. That’s how this creature works and lives,” says the seer.
At the same time, she noted that the end has already come for Putin.
“I will say more… in 1999, a special ritual was held for his good luck. He has been interested in such things for a long time, because people in power seek absolute power, and they want to help themselves in some way, to receive the support of higher forces in the spiritual world. .. This ritual was for a certain period of time, this period of validity has already expired,” Sofya Semyanishyn concluded.
For his part, Molfar Vasyl Yuraschuk emphasized that “a very strong shaman” is now with Putin.
“He, like Vanga, is strong, but in a black way, not in a white way… There must still be a lot of blood spilled,” Molfar said.
The end of the war in Ukraine
The clairvoyant from Prykarpattia, Sofia Sem’yanyshyn, predicted an unexpected victory for Ukraine already in the spring of 2024. Perhaps, she said, something will happen in Russia itself that will radically affect the end of the war.
“There were already several options for the end of the war – we “clicked” on them, switched to the worst options… The next point at which the war can end will be mid-April – early May 2024. There is information hanging in the field that this is very unexpected … We will not understand what happened. In other words, it is possible that something will happen in Russia itself that will fundamentally affect the end of the war,” said Sofya Sem’yanishin.
Molfar Vasyl Yuraschuk from the Carpathian village of Cherny Potik also made his prediction about the victory of Ukraine next year.
To the correspondent’s question about whether there will be a victory next year, he answered: “Well, what if… You’ll see, and I’ll see, and you’ll see… We’ll win, everything will work out, it’ll be fine.”
A complex war that will last a long time
Ukrainian society needs to get used to the fact that the war with Russia will last a long time, and not plan a vacation in Crimea in the coming summer.
Such an opinion expressed the commander of the first assault battalion of the Third Separate Assault Brigade Petro Horbatenko with the call sign “Rollo” in an interview on the “Ukrainian Pravda” YouTube channel.
“We have to play the long game – this is a strategy that is stretched over time… What we want: the war would end sooner, let’s collect it now, throw it there. And you consider the consequences of your haste. You consider that these are all your the desire and observation of the country… for a counterattack, as for football – this is life, these are huge tragedies for someone,” he said.
According to him, this war is for a long time, because it is “difficult, hard and long work”.
“We will have to stop planning “today we will win and that’s all”… No, this is hard, long work. As Churchill said: I promise you only blood, sweat and tears,” the Ukrainian combatant recalled.
In his opinion, it is worth thinking 2-3 years ahead in order to collect and prepare resources, and not expect “quick victories”.
As the military analyst, Colonel Petro Chernyk noted, the war of 2024 will be difficult. A new wave of mobilization and elections in the USA await Ukraine.
The expert emphasized that Ukraine is extremely dependent on Western partners in the sense of weapons and financial support. He added that we are increasing the production of weapons, but it is impossible to do it at one time.
“Unfortunately, we are very dependent on the United States. Trump is giving clear signals that he will make every effort to freeze this war if he becomes president. We must evaluate this carefully, because Trump is a specific personality,” he said.
The Colonel of the Armed Forces added: next year will also be difficult due to mobilization.
“As for the mobilization potential, this year is already not easy and it will be more difficult. As for weapons and their arrival, everything will be even. The question is whether the weapons will reach us are F-16s and long-range missiles. Our allies have them in their warehouses , but they are in no hurry to hand it over to us,” he said.
F-16 for Ukraine
Aviation expert, analyst, former test engineer of the “Antonov” design bureau Kostiantyn Kryvolap assumed that Ukraine could receive the first F-16 fighters by the end of March 2024. By this time, Ukrainian pilots need to complete their training. According to him, one hour of flight is 16 hours of fighter maintenance.
“In order to receive planes, the infrastructure must be ready. We will have to take off on combat missions from Ukrainian airfields, these are the conditions of the partner countries. Also, we will not be able to make sausages on Russians on the territory of Russia. A very unpleasant restriction, but such a ban will remain in effect for the time being.” , the message said.
Kryvolap predicted that Ukraine will receive the F-16AM/BM Block 20 MLU aircraft.
“It really allows you to detect targets at a range of 300-350 km, and is fully integrated with the AIM-120 AMRAAM and AGM-158 JASSM missiles. The AGM-158 JASSM missile with an engine has a flight range of 925 km, without an engine it flies 370 km. This air-to-surface cruise missiles,” he concluded.
Economic growth at the level of 4.5%
As First Deputy Prime Minister – Minister of Economy Yuliya Svyridenko said, the government predicted continued gradual growth of the economy at the level of 4.5%.
“According to the basic scenarios, we assume that the war will continue next year, but at the end of the year, provided the security situation improves, Ukrainians will return (from abroad. – ed.). There will be at least 1.5 million people. We are very we hope for that and include it in our forecasts,” said Svyridenko.
It was expected that along with the growth of the economy in Ukraine, the rates of price growth will decrease. After the start of the full-scale war, inflation reached record levels. However, the successful policy of the National Bank, the effectiveness of which was recognized in particular by international organizations, made it possible to gradually normalize the situation.
The decision of the Cabinet stated that the average inflation in 2024 will be 8.5%, in 2025 – 8.3%, and in 2026 it will be at the level of 7.7%. High inflation primarily affects the least protected sections of the population: pensioners, Ukrainians with minimum salaries.
In the structure of their consumption, products can make up the absolute majority of expenses. And the rise in prices leads to the fact that they have to give up relatively expensive products: meat, cheese, fish, etc. For Ukraine, before the full-scale war, the goal was inflation of less than 5% per year.
In the forecast of the Ministry of Economy back in the summer, it was said that in 2024, prices will increase by as much as 13.8%, in 2025 – by 9.8%, and in 2026 – by 6.2%. The latest forecast of the Cabinet of Ministers has much more optimistic estimates. The National Bank believes that in 2024 price growth may be at the level of 9.8%, in 2025 it will stabilize at around 6%. This year, according to the State Statistics Service, the price of electricity rose the most – by 69.7% (November last year to November this year).
Inflation rates were to be compensated by wage growth. In 2024, the Cabinet of Ministers planned to raise the minimum wage from UAH 6,700 to UAH 7,100 in January and to UAH 8,000 in April 2024. An increase in the minimum wage should have had an impact on average wages.
The average salary in 2024, according to the estimates of the Cabinet of Ministers, was supposed to be UAH 21,809. In 2025, it will be increased to UAH 25,732 on average, and to UAH 30,260 in 2026. Real wages will increase by 8.5% in 2024 (adjusted for inflation), although the previous forecast predicted an increase of 6%. At the same time, the unemployment rate forecast was adjusted to 18.7%.
87% of companies planned to increase wages specifically in 2024, according to the results of a survey of employers by the European Business Association. About half (46%) of the companies during the survey noted that the increase will be up to 10%.
Attacks on the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation
Expert Volodymyr Zablotsky noted that next year the Ukrainian army will strike the Russian fleet again if it has the appropriate weapons. We are talking about missiles, F-16 aircraft and surface drones. According to him, Storm Shadow and SCALP missiles alone (the export variants hit at a distance of up to 300 km) will not get you far.
“These missiles are not new, they were given to us not in order to win, but because something had to be given. They are capable of hitting only static targets. If the ship is moving in the sea, they will not hit, because the “head” cannot see the ship “, the expert explained.
One of the options is the improved Neptune anti-ship cruise missile. When it enters service, it will be possible to destroy moving targets.
“Right now we are using what we have. And, as we can see, it is successful, thank God,” said Zablotskyi.
As for the fleet of surface drones, the expert says that one should not exaggerate its capabilities. This is primarily a weapon, not a fleet, and in order for surface drones to hit something, it is necessary to know exactly where the target is, and that in the time until they reach the conditional Ochakov or Odesa, this target will not escape.
“By the way, when we hit the Crimean bridge in July, it was supposed to be attacked by five new drones. But when they were on the crossing, intelligence spotted the Admiral Essen frigate in the sea, and the command made a decision to attack the frigate. Three drones chased after it , but he managed to leave at a higher speed,” said Zablotskyi.
According to the expert, there was no more fuel left to attack the bridge, and they self-destructed in the Yalta area. Zablotskyi added that we will probably sink the frigate next time.
The expert says that the Russians now have no other option but to transport ammunition on large amphibious ships through the Kerch Strait. They will try to repair the bridge, drive to occupied Mariupol, where a new naval command has been established, as well as to Kerch and Feodosia. These, Zablotskyi said, are the three main directions for 2024.
“They will continue to drive, and we will continue to harm it. We will see what happens next. For example, we will have F-16 planes, most likely with their long-range missiles. Which can hit moving targets,” the expert concluded.
Negotiations with Russia
The former commander of the Polish Ground Forces, ex-deputy minister of defense of the country, General Waldemar Skzypchak claimed that 2024 could be a key year both for President Volodymyr Zelenskyi and for Ukraine itself. Moreover, Ukrainians will probably have to go to negotiations with the Russian Federation in the new year. He emphasized: if there is no support at least at the same level as in 2023, “Ukraine will not be able to wage war.” Another challenge Skshipchak called the problem of Ukrainians with the mobilization of the army.
“If there is no mobilization, Ukraine will have no one to fight. Therefore, it faces the fact that it has fewer and fewer opportunities to conduct military operations in a situation where the Russians are constantly increasing their superiority over the Ukrainian army,” he said.
Skshipchak said that in the absence of help from the West, Ukraine will not be able to return the lost territories and will be forced to start negotiations on Putin’s terms.
“Ukraine is increasingly falling into internal problems, which are the result of political and military disputes, as well as those related to the limited support of the West. This should be resolved in 2024. Unfortunately, not at all in Ukraine’s favor. The West has no chance equalize the military potential of Ukraine and Russia in order to give Ukraine a chance in 2024. But, in my opinion, since the Russians are building strategic advantage, they (Ukrainians. – ed.) will have to accept the conditions dictated by the Kremlin,” the Polish general assumed.
Skshipchak also accused Western politicians that they, “torn by disputes”, were unable to protect Ukraine.
“The West is slowly betraying Ukraine. If we take a step back, who are we? Traitors,” summed up General Skshipchak.
Earlier we wrote about what 2025 will be like for Ukraine. Mages and molfars made their predictions.
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